Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.003123 0.003417 0.003731 0.004092 0.004494 0.004932 0.005444
2025-12-28 0.002597 0.003007 0.003473 0.004047 0.004739 0.005551 0.006582
2026-01-04 0.002323 0.002793 0.003353 0.004077 0.004996 0.006137 0.007677
2026-01-11 0.002090 0.002587 0.003201 0.004025 0.005117 0.006535 0.008548
2026-01-18 0.001914 0.002427 0.003081 0.003989 0.005236 0.006921 0.009424
2026-01-25 0.001764 0.002284 0.002965 0.003938 0.005318 0.007250 0.010240
2026-02-01 0.001658 0.002189 0.002901 0.003945 0.005473 0.007686 0.011247
2026-02-08 0.001547 0.002078 0.002804 0.003895 0.005535 0.007983 0.012065
2026-02-15 0.001444 0.001969 0.002700 0.003822 0.005552 0.008208 0.012786
2026-02-22 0.001379 0.001909 0.002662 0.003842 0.005708 0.008656 0.013916
2026-03-01 0.001341 0.001885 0.002672 0.003934 0.005981 0.009314 0.015478
2026-03-08 0.001269 0.001805 0.002594 0.003880 0.006012 0.009570 0.016352
2026-03-15 0.001190 0.001715 0.002498 0.003799 0.006003 0.009775 0.017197
2026-03-22 0.001127 0.001644 0.002430 0.003759 0.006060 0.010107 0.018337
2026-03-29 0.001085 0.001604 0.002404 0.003786 0.006235 0.010664 0.019996
2026-04-05 0.001031 0.001541 0.002338 0.003738 0.006271 0.010966 0.021173
2026-04-12 0.000984 0.001486 0.002283 0.003705 0.006330 0.011313 0.022492
2026-04-19 0.000938 0.001431 0.002223 0.003658 0.006357 0.011601 0.023717
2026-04-26 0.000906 0.001396 0.002195 0.003665 0.006486 0.012103 0.025507
2026-05-03 0.000866 0.001347 0.002140 0.003619 0.006508 0.012385 0.026818
2026-05-10 0.000826 0.001295 0.002076 0.003553 0.006483 0.012566 0.027908
2026-05-17 0.000802 0.001270 0.002058 0.003571 0.006630 0.013130 0.030060
2026-05-24 0.000791 0.001265 0.002075 0.003655 0.006919 0.014044 0.033285